In five years the value of properties for sale in Uruguay almost
doubled, while properties for rent also faced major increases, two
facts attracting more investors looking to buy properties and
engage with local property management firms to get profits from
renting them.
Even some might think about a "Price bubble" in properties for
sale, recent studies seeking to shed light on the rationale behind
the rise of property prices, based on figures from National
Statistics Institute (INE), found Uruguay doesn't seem to be far
away from such effect.
Since 2006, the price per square meter in the capital of Uruguay
rose 90.6% in dollar terms, but in the same period the cost of
food, education and even electricity increased in equal proportion
in the same currency.
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A property price bubble occurs in a context in which the
evolution of the value of an asset deviates from its foundations.
Prices rise, and yet the genuine demand for the good remains
constant or even backwards. The speculative desire becomes the
engine of a price increase to get rid condemned by the very nature
of the phenomenon.
If generalized trust in rising prices, which encourages the
increase, a slight change in market conditions, barely a breeze at
the right time, can turn and click 'expectations of a bubble at any
moment.
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However, the Uruguayan real estate market does not account for
these signals. A good indicator is one that arises from comparing
the prices of purchases with the rents. Both decisions follow the
same rationale. The purchasing power, the higher level of
employment and consumer confidence empowers decisions of both
purchase but also rent.
But unlike the tenant, the real estate investor may have an
additional interest: speculation about property price.
With a risk of a price bubble, buying a property for management and
lease would be a less profitable business as property price would
increase more than property rentals.
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That is not the case in Uruguay.
During 2006, the purchase of one square meter equivalent to four
months' rent. Today, the same area pays off in three months, which
accounts to buy a property for management and rent is now a better
deal.
Most consumption capacity of the Uruguayan population in a context
of historically low unemployment drives the value of the property,
which are in current pesos to lower values in mid-2007.
Study concludes that properties for sale prices in Uruguay do not
have a price inflated by speculative factors, by the desire to buy
and then sell at a higher price.
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